{"id":325277,"date":"2023-06-02T11:02:07","date_gmt":"2023-06-02T18:02:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sdnews.com\/?p=325277"},"modified":"2023-05-23T17:07:10","modified_gmt":"2023-05-24T00:07:10","slug":"california-snowlines-could-be-1600-feet-higher-by-centurys-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/california-snowlines-could-be-1600-feet-higher-by-centurys-end\/","title":{"rendered":"Las l\u00edneas de nieve de California podr\u00edan ser 1.600 pies m\u00e1s altas para finales de siglo"},"content":{"rendered":"

By ROBERT MONROE<\/p>\n

This winter produced record snowfall in California, but a new study suggests the state should expect gradually declining snowpacks, even if punctuated with occasional epic snowfalls, in the future.<\/p>\n

An analysis by Tamara Shulgina, Alexander Gershunov, and other climate scientists at UC San Diego\u2019s Scripps Institution of Oceanography suggests that in the face of unabated global warming, the snowlines marking where rainfall turns to snow have been rising significantly over the past 70 years. Projections by the researchers suggest the trend will continue with snowlines rising hundreds of meters higher by the second half of this century.<\/p>\n

In the high Southern Sierra Nevada range, for instance, snowlines are projected to rise by more than 500 meters (1,600 feet) and even more when the mountains get precipitation from atmospheric rivers, jets of water vapor that are becoming an increasingly potent source of the state\u2019s water supply.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn an average year, the snowpack will be increasingly confined to the peak of winter and to the highest elevations,\u201d the study says.<\/p>\n

Diminished snowfall is a consequence of a changing climate in which places like California will get an increasing portion of their winter precipitation as rain instead of snow. The authors said this study and related research suggest water resource managers will need to adapt to a feast-or-famine future. California\u2019s water supply will arrive less through the gradual melt of mountain snowpack that gets the state through hot summers and more via bursts of rain and runoff delivered by atmospheric rivers, which are boosted by warming and are associated with higher snowlines than other storms.<\/p>\n

Such events will further complicate the balancing act between protecting people and infrastructure from winter flooding and ensuring enough water supply during warmer summers.<\/p>\n

“This work adds insight into the climate change narrative of more rain and less snow,\u201d said California Department of Water Resources (DWR) Climatologist Mike Anderson.\u00a0 \u201cDWR appreciates our partnership with Scripps to\u00a0help water managers develop, refine, and implement adaptation efforts as the world continues to warm and\u00a0climate change\u00a0impacts are realized.”<\/p>\n

The study, funded by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation and the DWR, appears in the journal Climate Dynamics on May 25.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis is the longest and most detailed account of snow accumulation in California,\u201d said Gershunov, \u201cresolving individual storms over 70 years of observed weather combined with projections out to 2100.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"dsc
A snow-capped Mount\u00a0San Gorgonio in the San Bernardino Mountains. Mount\u00a0San Gorgonio is the highest peak in Southern California and the Transverse Ranges at 11,503 feet. PHOTO BY THOMAS MELVILLE<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The authors make note of what this could mean for ski resorts around the state if climate change progresses unabated. For example, Mammoth Mountain, at an elevation between 2,400 and 3,300 meters (7,900-11,000 feet), is projected to receive 28 percent less snowfall in the latter half of the century. Lower-elevation ski resorts such as Palisades and Northstar, both near Lake Tahoe, span elevational ranges of around 1,900 and 2,700 meters (6,200-8,900 feet). They are projected to lose more than 70 percent of their snow accumulation in an average winter.<\/p>\n

\u201cObservations and future climate projections show that already rising snowlines will keep lifting,\u201d said Gershunov. \u201cEpic winters will still be possible, though, and unprecedented snowfalls will ironically become more likely due to wetter atmospheric rivers, but they will be increasingly confined to the peak of winter and to the highest elevations of the Southern Sierra Nevada.\u201d<\/p>\n

Study co-authors include Kristen Guirguis, Daniel Cayan, David Pierce, Michael Dettinger, and F. Martin Ralph of Scripps Oceanography, Benjamin Hatchett of the Desert Research Institute of Reno, Nev., Aneesh Subramanian of University of Colorado at Boulder, Steven Margulis and Yiwen Fang of UCLA, and Michael L. Anderson of the California Department of Water Resources.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By ROBERT MONROE This winter produced record snowfall in California, but a new study suggests the state should expect gradually declining snowpacks, even if punctuated with occasional epic snowfalls, in the future. An analysis by Tamara Shulgina, Alexander Gershunov, and other climate scientists at UC San Diego\u2019s Scripps Institution of Oceanography suggests that in the […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1496,"featured_media":325272,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"This winter produced record snowfall in California, but a new study suggests the state should expect gradually declining snowpacks, even if punctuated with occasional epic snowfalls, in the future.","_seopress_robots_index":"","jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"3","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"","hide":""},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[15433,15493,15490],"tags":[16025,12713,16028,16026,16029,16027,12558],"class_list":["post-325277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-la-jolla-village-news-top-stories","category-sdnews-features","category-sdnews-top-stories","tag-mammoth-mountain","tag-scripps-institution-of-oceanography","tag-snowfalls","tag-snowlines","tag-snowpacks","tag-southern-sierra-nevada-range","tag-uc-san-diego"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325277","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1496"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=325277"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325277\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":325280,"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325277\/revisions\/325280"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/325272"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=325277"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=325277"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/test.sdnews.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=325277"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}